Tuesday, March 09, 2004
Working Futures UK employment/occupation projections to 2011; includes computer services, professional services, other business services; trend analysis, quantitative analyses.
On PROFESSIONAL SERVICES:
"• Again four groups dominate employment:
• managers and senior officials;
• professional occupations;
• association professional and technical
occupations;
• administrative, clerical and secretarial
occupations.
• Each of the first three of these accounts
for around 1 in every 5 jobs.
• As in other industries, the first three
occupations have seen a rising share
of employment, while the last one has
experienced a declining share in recent
years, as the effects of ICT have hit."
(only slight variations in the above account for other sectors covered)
• Personal service occupations are also
expected to see a significant increase
in both their share of total employment
and the absolute number of jobs.
Replacement demands
• Substantial expansion demands of just
under 300,000 additional jobs by 2012
are reinforced by equally large replacement
demands.
• These affect all occupations, but are
especially important for the four occupations
highlighted previously and the personal
service occupations group."
On COMPUTER SERVICES:
"• These patterns are expected to remain
essentially unchanged over the next
10 years, with employment for all four
groups growing substantially.
• Sales and customer service occupations
are also projected to benefit and increase
their share of the total.
Replacement demands
• Total requirements are almost twice as
large as the already significant expansion
demand projected.
• These replacement demands are also
concentrated in the four main occupations
highlighted previously."
OTHER BUS SERS:
"• These recent trends are expected
to continue.
• Employment gains will be concentrated
in the first three occupational groups
(and to a lesser extent in personal
service occupations).
• The administrative, clerical and secretarial
group will see job losses.
Replacement demands
• In total, replacement demands are four times
as large as the expansion demand of over
a third of a million extra jobs by 2012.
• Replacement demands are concentrated
heavily in all four of the occupations
highlighted at the start of this section.
• Total requirements will amount to over
1.7 million over the next 10 years."
On PROFESSIONAL SERVICES:
"• Again four groups dominate employment:
• managers and senior officials;
• professional occupations;
• association professional and technical
occupations;
• administrative, clerical and secretarial
occupations.
• Each of the first three of these accounts
for around 1 in every 5 jobs.
• As in other industries, the first three
occupations have seen a rising share
of employment, while the last one has
experienced a declining share in recent
years, as the effects of ICT have hit."
(only slight variations in the above account for other sectors covered)
• Personal service occupations are also
expected to see a significant increase
in both their share of total employment
and the absolute number of jobs.
Replacement demands
• Substantial expansion demands of just
under 300,000 additional jobs by 2012
are reinforced by equally large replacement
demands.
• These affect all occupations, but are
especially important for the four occupations
highlighted previously and the personal
service occupations group."
On COMPUTER SERVICES:
"• These patterns are expected to remain
essentially unchanged over the next
10 years, with employment for all four
groups growing substantially.
• Sales and customer service occupations
are also projected to benefit and increase
their share of the total.
Replacement demands
• Total requirements are almost twice as
large as the already significant expansion
demand projected.
• These replacement demands are also
concentrated in the four main occupations
highlighted previously."
OTHER BUS SERS:
"• These recent trends are expected
to continue.
• Employment gains will be concentrated
in the first three occupational groups
(and to a lesser extent in personal
service occupations).
• The administrative, clerical and secretarial
group will see job losses.
Replacement demands
• In total, replacement demands are four times
as large as the expansion demand of over
a third of a million extra jobs by 2012.
• Replacement demands are concentrated
heavily in all four of the occupations
highlighted at the start of this section.
• Total requirements will amount to over
1.7 million over the next 10 years."
